Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.706603 3.948796 4.206241 4.501551 4.832544 5.193998 5.621189
2025-10-19 3.362262 3.706632 4.094552 4.569069 5.141220 5.818839 6.697943
2025-10-26 3.141948 3.539003 4.003209 4.595922 5.347973 6.293414 7.612779
2025-11-02 2.952879 3.379162 3.891575 4.567777 5.461242 6.641251 8.395725
2025-11-09 2.758066 3.192165 3.724541 4.444383 5.425113 6.771221 8.878633
2025-11-16 2.612458 3.053731 3.604560 4.365775 5.432399 6.950388 9.449582
2025-11-23 2.532303 2.991064 3.574569 4.400146 5.593297 7.362432 10.452979
2025-11-30 2.452439 2.922694 3.530575 4.408563 5.713063 7.721636 11.435570
2025-12-07 2.328790 2.790092 3.392193 4.272753 5.603511 7.701608 11.726787
2025-12-14 2.222783 2.675897 3.272530 4.155128 5.510162 7.694726 12.037840
2025-12-21 2.157643 2.613193 3.219727 4.130146 5.556628 7.924794 12.865571
2025-12-28 2.112596 2.575278 3.198733 4.149571 5.673380 8.288561 14.062961
2026-01-04 2.076648 2.551070 3.199586 4.207930 5.869531 8.843749 15.923871
2026-01-11 2.041723 2.527039 3.199817 4.266098 6.073322 9.453038 18.192258
2026-01-18 1.999903 2.491030 3.180043 4.290226 6.218937 9.971486 20.473380
2026-01-25 1.947648 2.437870 3.132025 4.265077 6.272690 10.307179 22.393058
2026-02-01 1.876134 2.354576 3.035460 4.154727 6.159555 10.262154 23.048351
2026-02-08 1.819470 2.290755 2.965532 4.084318 6.115107 10.365492 24.301938
2026-02-15 1.792192 2.268321 2.956922 4.115115 6.265258 10.944009 27.765811
2026-02-22 1.760749 2.238573 2.935613 4.122654 6.370366 11.436090 31.334402
2026-03-01 1.699764 2.163645 2.841918 4.000885 6.207298 11.228489 31.461233
2026-03-08 1.645434 2.097224 2.759478 3.895207 6.070129 11.072724 31.813852
2026-03-15 1.613410 2.062897 2.725792 3.872737 6.100955 11.363387 34.839772